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Brazil’s Labor Leaders Lose Their First Tug-of-War with President Rousseff

It was a major legislative victory for Dilma Rousseff, new Brazilian president. Brazil’s Lower House approved a government proposal to limit a minimum wage increase to 545 reais (US$ 328) a month. It was the president’s first show of power and leadership. The proposal will be voted on in the Senate next week, where it is expected to be approved. 

A bigger rise, as sought by labor unions, could have derailed Rousseff’s drive to rein in public spending and tame inflation that hit a six-year high near 6% last year as the economy boomed. The government last week announced US$ 30 billion in budget cuts for 2011.

Rousseff might come under growing pressure to backtrack on some of those cuts and has already signaled she may fall short of pledges for sweeping economic reform.

In theory, the government holds a comfortable majority in both houses of Congress. But due to weak party loyalty, it has had to cajole and court coalition members, including its own Labor minister.

The result by a strong majority in the Chamber showed Rousseff’s ability to harness her coalition even on issues sensitive to her constituents.

Still, Rousseff, who took office on January 1, risks her as yet untested popularity by pushing austerity, although analysts say she can afford to use up some of the political capital she gained in the election.

Rousseff’s predecessor, former union leader Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, oversaw a nearly 60% rise in the real value of the wage between 2002 and 2010 that helped lift millions from poverty and kept his popularity at record highs.

Union leaders, who wanted an increase to at least 580 reais (US$ 349), had accused Rousseff of using inflation as an excuse to push an agenda of fiscal austerity that will hurt the poor and working class most.

The minimum wage is used to calculate a range of state salaries and benefits, including pensions for nearly 19 million Brazilians. Each additional real adds nearly 300 million Real (US$ 181 million) to annual government spending and stimulates an economy already stretched to its limit.

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